Hurricane Center: Tropical storm formation now at 90 pct

Federico Mansilla
Noviembre 12, 2018

A late-season storm forming in the Atlantic has a 90 percent chance of evolving into something more serious, the National Hurricane Center reports.

An area of disturbed weather east of the Lesser Antilles has has become better organized with a circulation beginning to form, which may lead to formation of a tropical or sub-tropical system passing through the region in the next week, according to the National Hurricane Center. "Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this morning", the service noted, "and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next day or so".

A cyclone is a closed-circulation rotating storm that depending on its wind-speed intensity, is classified, from weakest to strongest, as a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane.

On the other hand, odds would be against development if the system maintains a more westward track over the mountainous islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

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If it strengthens into a tropical storm it would become Patty, the 16th named storm of 2018.

The Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency said in a release today that it's monitoring the system. Only 89 (5.4 %) of the tropical storms and 59 (5.9%) of the hurricanes developed in November.

It's been a cold weekend across the Carolinas and many people along the East Coast may already be planning their Thanksgiving menus for next week, but that doesn't mean Hurricane season is over.

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