Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll

Ceria Alfonso
Abril 17, 2018

Democrats have a 19-point advantage over Republicans in the generic House ballot among all registered voters in New Jersey, according to a Monmouth University Poll released Monday.

A 10-point Democratic lead among all adults narrows to 4 points among registered voters and 5 points among those who say they're both registered and certain to vote; neither of those is statistically significant. Those issues have traditionally played to the GOP's strength.

Among other results, the poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds more than three-quarters of Americans looking for a congressional candidate who agrees with them on gun policy. Frank LoBiondo, R-2nd Dist., and Rodney Frelinghuysen, R-11th Dist., have announced their retirements, and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has targeted their districts and the three remaining House Republicans.

Contributing to his optimism, Lujan said, was the strong turnout among Democrats in last fall's gubernatorial election won by Phil Murphy.

The Globe noted Klarman's long-standing opposition to Trump. Democrats from New Jersey now have seven representatives in the House.

Only 35 percent of voters surveyed favor the law, which raises taxes on gasoline and diesel and hikes vehicle registration fees to fix roads and highways.

Participants take part in the March for Our Lives Rally in NY on March 24, 2018. His average approval rating at 15 months in office is the lowest on record for any president in polling, dating to the Truman administration. More than 4 in 10 registered voters say it is extremely important that candidates share their views on gun issues. "Not merely will be new-jersey Democrats doing greater on the generic household ballot state wide, but also the change is coming nearly entirely out of districts now owned by the GOP. They have a lot more money to spend". But many more registered voters are unfavorable toward Trump than favorable, which keeps Trump as more of a vulnerability for the GOP.

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Boston-area billionaire hedge fund manager Seth Klarman will now start funding mostly Democrats after a history of giving large donations to Republicans. In the five House seats now held by a Republican, 46 percent of voters prefer the GOP candidate and 44 percent the Democrat.

He has cut checks to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and other top Democrats in the House and Senate.

Overall, she's seen more unfavorably than favorably by 48-33 percent among registered voters; one in five have no opinion.

Of the 57, 40 are Republicans. Those who say it is extremely important favor Democrats over Republicans by 11 points, 54 percent to 43 percent.

The Journal/NBC News poll was conducted April 8-11 and included 900 adults.

But the Republican advantage in their five districts was only 46 percent to 44 percent, within the margin of error, compared with 23 points four years ago. In December, 35% said Democrats would be best, while 30% said Republicans.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of NY, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md.

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