Normal monsoon expected this season: IMD

Evarado Alatorre
Abril 16, 2018

The all India weather inference, issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), stated that a cyclonic circulation at 1.5 kilometres above sea level is present over central parts of south Madhya Pradesh and neighbouring areas. The IMD predicted 97 per cent chance of near-normal showers. Probability of normal to excess rains is 56% and that of below normal and deficit rain is 44%. The MET department said that monsoon will be 97 per cent of long period average, which is normal for the season. Monsoon is considered to be normal when rainfall is between 96% and 104% of the 50-year average. If the average rainfall is below 90 per cent of LPA, the Monsoon is termed "deficient".

"India will receive normal monsoon this year".

The latest forecasts from the MMCFS and global models indicate weak negative IOD conditions may develop during the middle of the monsoon season.

A figure between 96 and 104 per cent of rainfall indicates a normal monsoon and between 105 and 110 per cent above normal.

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Hoping that the monsoon will be constant and not sporadic, IMD said that region based forecast will be available only during the second assessment in June and the date of the monsoon's onset into Kerala will be announced in mid May.

The four-month monsoon season provides about 70 per cent of the country's annual rainfall.

Private weather forecasting agency Skymet has said rainfall in 2018 will be normal at 100 per cent of the LPA.

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